The ceasefire in Syria is a ruse. Turkish military units proceed to mass along the border, and militants are flowing across the border to strike targets in northern Syria. The Prime Minister of Turkey is currently honestly acknowledging that his government is helping the militants that are attempting to overthrow the Syrian government, and the Turkish government has likewise made it abundantly obvious that they have no plans to end shelling the Kurds on the other side of the border. So regardless of the “ceasefire”, the reality is that the threat of World War 3 breaking out in the Middle East is more significant than ever.
At times it is challenging to view the dividing line between the Turkish military and the radical jihadists that are hopping back and forth across the border with the full guidance of the Turkish government. This past weekend, militants from Turkey that crossed over into northern Syria were held by artillery fire from the Turkish military as they assaulted a key Kurdish town…
In the Raqqa province, a group of some 100 fighters crossed into Syria from Turkey. The group later joined forces with other militants and attacked the Kurdish town of Tell Abyad.
The 250-strong group was supported by artillery fire from the Turkish territory, a fact that Russia said the US should explain. The Kurdish YPG militia fended off the attack, the report said.
This is an action of war, and still the Obama administration fails to appear to mind.
If Turkey will in no way even respect the ceasefire, what trust is there that anything will have the ability to prevent them from behaving in a hostile manner?
Now, the Turks are not even pretending anymore. Just the other day, Turkey’s Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu honestly confessed that his nation is backing the militants that are attempting to overthrow the Assad regime…
“How would they be able to defend themselves if there was no Turkish support of the Syrian people? … If there’s today a real moderate Syrian opposition, it’s because of the Turkish support. If today the [Assad] regime isn’t able to control all the territories [it’s] because of Turkish and some other countries’ support,” he told Al-Jazeera earlier this week.
Clearly this ceasefire is not going to deliver the results. Turkey has not even pushed pause in their relentless campaign in opposition to the Assad regime and the Kurds.
The Turkish government has turn out to be absolutely obsessed with their neighbor to the south, and that is a very hazardous thing for the rest of the planet. The only way that Turkey, Saudi Arabia and their allies are going to have the capability to win the war at this point is to execute a massive ground invasion of Syria. Such a step would lead to direct turmoil with Iran, Hezbollah and the Russians, and since Turkey is a member of the NATO alliance, that could endanger the U.S. and western Europe into the war too. The subsequent comes from the International Business Times…
The wider consequences of any disagreement between Ankara and Moscow could lead to a standoff between Russia and NATO. Jen Stoltenberg, secretary general of the Brussels-based organization, said in late 2015 that it would be prepared to defend the member state of Turkey if it were attacked by Russia.
“NATO will defend you, NATO is on the ground, NATO is ready,” Stoltenberg said in the aftermath of repeated breaches of Turkish airspace by Russian jets and just one month before Ankara shot down a Russian jet in November.
The 28-country alliance is bound by Article 5 of its treaty to collectively defend its members. “Collective defense means that an attack against one ally is considered as an attack against all allies,” the article states.
Saudi Arabia does not seem prepared to back down either.
The Saudis proceed to state their position that either Assad must go peacefully or he will be removed by force…
Saudi Arabia is prepared to send troops to Syria if President Bashar Assad doesn’t resign and leave his war-torn nation peacefully. Saudi Foreign Minister Adel Al-Jubeir warned Sunday that his country will take military action if Syria violates the terms of a ceasefire agreement.
“I believe that abiding by the truce would be an important indicator of the seriousness to reach a peaceful solution to the Syrian crisis that would include setting up a transitional council and the transfer of power from Bashar to this council,” he said during a joint press conference with his Danish counterpart Kristian Jensen in the Saudi capital of Riyadh.
Al-Jubeir warned that Saudi Arabia has prepared a “Plan B.” If “the coalition decided to send ground troops into Syria, Saudi Arabia is ready to contribute,” he said.
The objective since 2011 has been to eliminate Assad so that Syria could turn out to be a full-fledged Sunni nation with a Sunni government.
Saudi Arabia, Turkey and their allies have applied huge sums of money and resources into this struggle, and they do not seem to be willing to walk away now that the tide of the war has switched. Actually, how the Saudis have been behaving recently has been triggering a tremendous amount of panic in the Middle East…
Saudi Arabia’s recent actions have caused a great deal of anxiety within its region. On February 4, a military spokesman suggested that Saudi Arabia was ready to send troops ground troops to fight ISIS in Syria. A week later Saudi Arabia announced that it will send combat aircraft and soldiers to Turkey to participate in the U.S.-led coalition against ISIS.
Three days later the Saudis launched “Northern Thunder,” described as the “largest military exercise in the history of the Middle East.” Participants from 20 countries sent troops to the maneuvers run over three weeks in Hafar al Batin in northern Saudi Arabia, not far from the Iraqi and Kuwaiti border. According to a Saudi media outlet, some 350,000 troops were expected to participate in the maneuvers.
Thus if Saudi Arabia, Turkey and their allies are getting ready for war, then what is the objective of the ceasefire?
Clearly, to begin with the objective was to halt the bleeding. The Sunni militants were losing ground continuously, and this pause will allow them to regroup and get resupplied.
Next, this pause in the action provides “the coalition” time to move forces into location for a potential ground invasion of Syria.
But more than whatever else, this ceasefire feels to be a mistake. It seems to be predictable that the U.S. and other western powers will criminate Russia, Iran, Hezbollah and the Syrian government of breaking the ceasefire, as a result giving “legal justification” for “the coalition” to militarily get involved.
Observe developments in Syria very meticulously. Countless had hoped that this ceasefire would bring the five year civil war to an conclusion, but the reality is that it could just be setting the stage for something far, far bigger…. Oh What A Tangled Web We Weave…