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US Regime Under Unprecedented Attack, Black Swan Event Imminent – Ben Fulford 12/23/2014 (Video Audio)

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory
The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight.

The theory was developed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb to explain:

  1. The disproportionate role of high-profile, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance, and technology.
  2. The non-computability of the probability of the consequential rare events using scientific methods (owing to the very nature of small probabilities).
  3. The psychological biases that make people individually and collectively blind to uncertainty and unaware of the massive role of the rare event in historical affairs.

Unlike the earlier philosophical “black swan problem“, the “black swan theory” refers only to unexpected events of large magnitude and consequence and their dominant role in history. Such events, considered extreme outliers, collectively play vastly larger roles than regular occurrences. More technically, in the scientific monograph Lectures on Probability and Risk in the Real World: Fat Tails (Volume 1), Taleb mathematically defines the black swan problem as “stemming from the use of degenerate metaprobability”. Enjoy!!!

Fall of the Nazionist Cabal IMMINENT as torture crimes, Blame-shifting, Projection of Guilt is EXPOSED worldwide on an unprecedented scale. Expect a new World System based on justice and humanity for all by the beginning of 2015 as White Dragon Society and Allied forces destabilize the last pathetic attempts by the Illuminati and their stooges to create a major World Conflict through hate-mongering, the drive to create a US military police state, smearing campaigns against North Korea and turn nations like Saudi Arabia & Iran against each other…. Be AWARE and be PREPARED, FEAR is not an option. Be safe everyone…

About the author

Jay Williams

Reporter, Freelance Journalist, Blogger, Researcher. Committed to providing information by posting/archiving videos, articles, and links. I also investigate to raise awareness on numerous issues, inspire critical thinking, involvement, and hopefully to help make our world a better place for all. “The truth, always the truth at all costs”